Thursday, May 22, 2014

Goodluck Jonathan;Pride Aside,Time to Negotiate


By Retlaw Matatu Matorwa
The much celebrated Nigerian and American military search for the abducted girls is yet to produce results. It appears Boko Harum had their strategy well figured out. They had time to work out and perfect their own intelligence strategy.

The theory that, Boko Harum has decimated the girls into smaller numbers to avoiding detection is quite credible. It may be possible, some of the girls crossed borders to neighboring States within and outside Nigeria. Although, American policy on terrorism maintains “no negotiations with terrorists,” Considering what is at stake and fruitless efforts invested so far this maybe the right time for dialogue.


Media reported Boko Harum is being aided by Al-quaeda. No valid evidence was provided to support the claims. But, if indeed it is true – It’s unfortunate for Nigeria, especially when America is part of the equation.


Since September 9/11, Al-queda and United States of America declared sworn in enemies. Wherever, Al-queda potentially flourishes or operates America intervenes- hoping to wipe them out and teach Al-queda a lesson. On one hand, driven by their conviction and “faith” Al-queda claims the will of Allah to swab out American imperialism and hegemony. America is seen as a threat to Islamism. A thesis can be written on evolution of Al-queda and American animosity but the 9/11 bombings drew the line.



Analysts still term the bombing of the World Trade Center, “The Grand Attack.” Americans were caught unaware; the bombings left American pride wounded at its very best, everyone questioning the super power’s intelligence and security systems. In fact, Americans never imagined such an attack would happen on their territory. At the same time, Al-queda celebrated having beaten the best security system in the world; it marked the beginning of their confidence in fighting America. To date, America’s MOST hated group is Al-queda.


Serve for 2011, America has been waging wars and dared to fight terrorism, but doing so off American soil. These wars are fought in other territories with non American casualties. In Pakistan, Afghanistan, Libya, Iraq just to mention but a few, the real casualties were people who remained long after Americans withdrew. In most cases countries are left far worse, fragile and ungovernable than they were before. Infrastructure dilapidation, breakdown of social order and insecurity usually are the results. I’m yet to encounter a state whose conditions improved thereafter. It’s a point that is debatable though!


In no way, am I against the intervention of Americans in Nigeria, it is a noble gesture of goodwill and concerns for the welfare of others. In my last article, I lamented the lack of a coordinated response from African head of states and regional bodies such as Economic Community of West African States Monitoring Group and African Union.


My point is, in a conflict situation it is important to engage parties involved and decide on the modus operandi for engagement or intervention. Care enough to understand each parties’ grievances. What are the underlying issues? How these issues did come about? Has there been an effort internally to resolve them? In the case of Nigeria, is it just civil disobedience, terrorism or an indication of growing frustrations of the masses? And above all, are parties willing to engage each other, can a solution be found?
Once these questions are answered and armored with facts selecting effective mediators and course of action is imperative. In this case, the mediator has to be far away from the conflict but understands the real issues and the capacity to maintain impartiality.

Back to our case, the Nigerian Crisis- once Al-queda is involved, whether using a front or supporting any group American intervention becomes a different game. Simply put, it’s Al-queda and America fighting in disregard of the casualties and what is at stake. America would proudly support initiatives that demonstrate their military superiority whilst Al-queda thrives to use any means at their disposal to show Americans- “you are not in control and we give you a run for your money.”

Whoever coined the American policy of “no negotiations with terrorist” had the utopian belief that it is feasible for America to squash terrorism in a twinkle of an eye, which is proving to be difficult. At the same time they believed, once one gives in to terrorists demands it increase or encourage terrorist’s activities thereby legitimizing terrorism as a means to address grievances.

Be that as it may, acts of “terrorism” and insurgency in Nigeria do have an economic, social and political basis which should be understood in its own context. The abduction of the girls is/was not a random activity; it’s a well orchestrated plan with a set objective- Maybe seeking an audience for a cause.


My experience with Nigeria confirms the social inequalities and political exclusion bred a constituency of disgruntled masses, whose hearts has been hardened over time by so many hardships. These people are prepared to do anything to gain an advantage especially the unemployed youths.

I visited Niger Delta in 2004. I was confronted with situations I had never imagined. The living conditions are appalling to say the very least, poor sanitation, oil pipes running through villages, gases and sooth 24 hours a day. You can’t drink any water, wells are infested with oil and petroleum waste. They are confronted with oil burst burning and destroying lives and torching homesteads. Farming is virtually impossible due to the contamination of both water sources and agricultural fields. There is no difference between day and night because of flames oozing out of oil rig up the chimneys.


One woman wanting to prove a point, took a cup of milk and placed it on her roof; in fifteen minutes it had turned grey in colour indicating high levels of soot. Schools, hospitals and social services infrastructure is dilapidated, unemployment is rife and yet this is where the biggest percentage of Nigeria’s wealth comes from. Surely, the day I spent and slept there changed my opinion on the plight of the people of Niger Delta and justified their uprising.


Against this background, Africa needs to deal with its issues in context and opening dialogue is critical. Otherwise, we run a risk of the Nigerian crisis hijacked and entangled in wars with no desire to address the root problems of our continent. Americans once invited, will not leave Nigeria without dealing with Al-queda (for them they are fighting with Al-queda not book harum) God, Allah know when this fight will end.


Should dialogue be initiated it may assist in rescuing our girls at the same time map a lasting solution. Negotiations reduce the risk of a fully fledged war, it opens up opportunities for stalling and managing the conflict- it creates a condition of sanity under the guise of resolving issues.


The problem with military intervention is the creation of an artificial winner and loser. Gudluck Jonathan has the official story which is supported by an audience, Boko harum, a declared terrorist group has not yet availed their side of the story. All we know is who they are and working with. I’m not sure; all that has happened in the name of this group is just sheer killings, insurgency and abductions for no reason at all. Military mighty may suppress or defeat the group but as long as the same challenges still exist- there will be no winner, it will re-occur.


In the quest for lasting solutions, let us remember thousands whose lives were lost in Nigeria, Above all, we need to make sure our girls are returned safely, alive and as it stands they appear to be ponies in a game of chess.

Let’s, Negotiate pride doesn’t pay.


Dzorai vasikana!

It’s just my thinking

Black September

Sunday, May 11, 2014

THINGS JUST GETTING MISSING NOW IT’S THE GIRLS……………


                                                          President Goodluck Jonathan


By Retlaw Matatu Matorwa


Few Months ago Malaysian Airline vanished without a trace and hopes of finding the vessel have since faded. In Africa, US$20 million and US$ 49.9 million of oil money revenue was reported missing under mysterious circumstances by the Governor of the Federal Reserve Bank of Nigeria. At the same time,President Goodluck Jonathan's daughter hits media headlines for thanking guests with a personalized golden iphone for attending their wedding ceremony. We can accept that money, airplanes can vanish, its either we can make more money and buy more airplanes, President GoodLuck Jonathan can get away with spoiling his family, friends and in-laws at the expense of the suffering masses, BUT  for 276 African girls to disappear without a trace on his clock is unacceptable. We want our Girls back!


It is now more than three weeks after the abduction of 276 Girls from Chibok, Government Secondary School in the Northern part of Nigeria by Boko Horam. Boko Haram is believed to be an Islamic terrorist group linked to Al-quaeda. In a broadcasted video message, the militia group claimed responsibility and threatened to sell the young girls for marriage according to the command and wills of Allah.To date, there is no clue with regards to the whereabouts of the abducted girls.


Time is ticking and considering how long the Federal Government of Nigeria is taking, it’s evident they are faced with serious strategic and capacity issues. Nigerians and people world over are upbeat on the lack of urgency and expediency in finding the abducted girls. Parents in a desperate bid had to folk out personal resources to fuel motorbikes in an attempt to search for their children. There was no budget for an immediate response.


In a country with high rates of insurgency and terrorism a disaster and crisis handling strategy is imperative. The government is being criticized for its failure to keep the affected families updated on progress or lack of it. To date the Nigerian Government is yet to establish a crisis center to manage the situation.


The rise of militia groups and acts terrorism in Nigeria is of serious concern. Of recent arbitrary killings, religious persecutions, abductions and kidnapping not to mention scores of pupils shot has characterized the country’s landscape. Such a situation can affect the whole region given the position Nigeria holds in the political and economic arena of ECOWAS and Africa.


From a regional perspective, Nigeria’s destabilization affects the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and Africa as a whole. Nigeria is the linchpin of Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS).  Over 50% of the ECOWAS populations live in Nigeria.  Nigeria's GDP is larger than that of the combined GDP of all the other ECOWAS states put together.  Nigeria accounts for the lionshare of the annual ECOWAS budget (31%; relative to only 12.6% by the second highest contributor- Cote d'Ivoire), as well as of the ECOWAS Fund (32% relative to only 13% by Cote d'Ivoire). From these facts, Nigeria is a strategic powerhouse.


So why is Africa not treating this as an emergency both the abduction and the Nigerian crisis? Why is Africa not doing anything to aid Nigeria, it appears the country is failing to cope. How on earth can 276 girls go missing more than three weeks and the region does not come up with a coordinated response for rescue? It is sad, that Jonathan Goodluck had to appeal for assistance from Britain, France and United States of America and yet we have Economic Community of West African States Momitoring Group (ECOMOG) organ  responsible for defense  and African Union. For African Union does this not warrant an emergency meeting to strategies a response? At what point do we start talking of a regional response?

 Are our priorities people centered, African leaders ganged up on the International Criminal Court calling for an emergency hearing, to garner support for the Court to withdraw charges aganist President Uhuru Kenyatta and his vice William Ruto for alledged crimes against humanity. Are these innocent souls not worth more than two politicians, whose quest for power ended in mass killings?

It is argued; fighting terrorism is a costly exercise which Africa may not affords, Alas! It is in Africa where politicians and the affluent society live the America dream and drive expensive Mercedes, whose cost on personal security and defense exceed a ministerial department, where billions of dollars are lost through corruption and self aggrandizement and millions of dollars invested to rig elections and subvert the wills of our people. Put together our priorities are misplaced that’s all. We can no longer afford protecting our own. 

NOW America is in Nigeria to fix our own problems. All this, in the presence of African Union, ECOWAS and other Regional bodies who spends billions of dollars of African taxpayer’s money in urinary conferences and discussing poverty having a three course meal. The irony of it - African states claim independence and sovereignty, calling for non- interferenc from the west. When west raises concern over abusing the rights of your own people you cry foul claiming the right to self determination of your people BUT Africa cannot put resources to find their own children- instead seeking help from the same states accused of mingling in their affairs.  Africa is dismally failing to deal with its problems. Imagine failing to protect and later on find your own children lost within your compound. Africa seriously?


For Nigerians, the precedence set by President Goodluck Jonathan administration  serves to indicate the country has a crisis management challenge. Furthermore, Nigerians are not safe; there is no protection at all for ordinary citizens. Nigerians should demand their right to be protected and raise  children in a safer environment.


African governments should act and stop assuming observer status in such situations even military intervention maybe required in this case. However, there is need for a dual approach to deal with the current plight of the girls and long term response to interrogate the issues behind these atrocities. Boko Haram is not an army, these are people living in communities who exploit poverty to recruit unemployed youth and indoctrinate them. The root of the problem needs to be addressed too. 
Yes, the girls need to be freed safely.


Anyway that’s Just my thinking



Black September